Friday, May 11, 2012

Free Trade and Inclusive Development

By Suranjana Nabar-Bhaduri

One of the central elements in the development of any country is the creation of economic activities that transform the production structure by significantly increasing labor productivity, or the amount of production per worker. By helping to absorb more people into quality employment, the creation of such activities helps to generate a more inclusive and sustainable path of long-run economic growth. While economists and policy-makers accept the necessity of this transformation, there are differing views on the policies that developing countries should follow to achieve this transformation.

Many Western countries and institutions, such as the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank, argue that minimizing the role of the State in economic activity, and opening up the economy to external markets is vital to achieving this transformation. But other economists (e.g., Prebisch 1959, Cimoli and Correa 2002, and Ocampo 2005) stress that active industrial and employment generation policies are also essential ingredients for this transformation, and that it is necessary to complement liberalization with such policies.

Read the rest here.

Thursday, April 7, 2011

Dev't Battle: Jagdish Bhagwati v Muhammad Yunus

[NOTE: This is the first of two posts reflecting on the ouster of Muhammad Yunus from Grameen as demanded by the Bangladeshi government.] Here is a clash of the titans from the Indian subcontinent if there ever was one. On one side we have Jagdish Bhagwati, arguably the most influential international economist of his generation. On the other side we have Muhammad Yunus, Nobel Peace Prize winner and the man recognized by most for having popularized microfinance.

I make these qualifiers about Yunus and microfinance for a reason: Apparently, his fame has not gone down so well with a number of economic commentators--including Bhagwati. To wit, the venerable Professor Bhagwati highlights four criticisms of Yunus in a recent op-ed in Al Jazeera:

1. It wasn't Muhammad Yunus who invented microfinance but rather Ela Bhatt who founded the Self-Employed Women's Association (SEWA) in April 1974--two years before the former made his start in Jobram Bangladesh;
2. Yunus has relied on periodic inflows of foreign cash to keep Grameen afloat, whereas SEWA has never been reliant on foreign donors;
3. What is more, SEWA has been regulated by Indian authorities practically since its inception, while the same doesn't hold true for Grameen which resists such regulation;
4. Microfinance does not promote large-scale development.

There are interesting points which Muhammad Yunus would probably be better served rebutting himself. However, I can offer some counterpoints and suggestions here:

1. Yunus' innovation was perhaps more a case of marketing; that much is true. Prior to him, the term "microfinance" had barely entered the lexicon and was certainly not widespread worldwide. That said, why begin with SEWA? Those who've worked in development studies for any period of time are familiar with the Rotating Savings and Credit Association (ROSCA) which has similar features of credit pooling and turn-based lending among a small group. As far back as 1962, the famous anthropologist Clifford Geertz had already written about "The Rotating Credit Association: A 'Middle Rung' in Development." It's hardly an obscure work since Google claims it has 397 citations. ROSCA was already operative long before Geertz described it, so the origin of ROSCA certainly predates SEWA by an even more considerable margin. But if neither the ROSCA nor the SEWA folks coined the term "microfinance" despite having essentially similar mechanics, then I'll give Yunus the nod for doing so.

2. It would of course be good if Bhagwati came up with evidence to back his claim that could be very damaging to Yunus' operation not being self-sustaining by relying on periodic cash infusions from abroad.

3. It is incorrect to say that Bangladeshi microfinance institutions (MFIs) do not face banking regulation. Instead, they have a separate banking regulator in the Microcredit Regulatory Authority (MRA) which oversees their operations and has the power to impose sanctions. Instead of saying Grameen gets by with lax regulation, it would have been better if Bhagwati could explain why microfinance and conventional banking are similar enough to warrant coming under the same regulatory body (such as the Reserve Bank of India). Given India's own woes with allegedly usurious interest rates, the specificities of microfinance may warrant having a separate regulator as Bangladesh has decided to do. Yunus, after all, has been instrumental in creating a microfinance monitoring body in Bangladesh and calls for one in India as well:

“We have been lobbying for a regulatory authority in Bangladesh and as a result created the microcredit regulatory authority in Bangladesh,” Yunus said. “That’s what I have been recommending for India also.”
Speaking of which, Bhagwati should note this provision of Bangladesh's MRA:
MFIs should not be permitted to accept deposits from the non-member/ general public.
4. Alike many other things in development--remittances come to mind, personally--it is unlikely that microfinance is the "magic bullet" to development. Although some folks do a disservice as styling it as such, perhaps Yunus is even culpable to an extent. I personally think Clifford Geertz suggested as much since he termed ROSCA as a "middle rung" in development long before the chattering classes arrived on the scene. Microfinance is an intermediate stage in the development of financial institutions. That is, habituating folks climbing up the income ladder in the disciplines of borrowing, investment, and repayment is certainly not a bad thing when it comes to administering credit. Certainly the Americans--its government, states, municipalities and citizens--do not have a firm grip on such fundamentals given the parlous state of their finances at virtually every level of society.

It's interesting times for Grameen,to say the least.

Sunday, April 3, 2011

India charges ex-minister in telecom graft scandal

NEW DELHI - INDIAN police on Saturday charged a former telecom minister with abuse of power and conspiracy in an alleged mobile spectrum fraud that cost the country billions of dollars in lost revenue.

The south Indian politician, A. Raja, was also accused of cheating, forgery and criminal misconduct on a charge sheet and annexed documents that ran to 80,000 pages and were carried to court in seven steel trunks.

Raja, a low-caste politician from a regional party in Premier Manmohan Singh's national Congress-led coalition, is suspected of rigging rules for the sale of second generation (2G) mobile licences in 2008 to favour some firms.


Three executives employed by a telecom firm belonging to the conglomerate controlled by prominent billionaire Anil Ambani were also charged.

The charges were the first to be laid in the corruption scandal, said to be potentially the biggest in independent India's history, and capped months of investigation into the issuing of the licences and allocation of 2G spectrum.

The scene is now set for a high-profile trial that could be a Pandora's box for the Congress-led coalition, as many of the players who received spectrum are seen as having links to the government, analysts say. -- AFP

Thursday, March 31, 2011

Indian PM vows closer Pakistan ties

MOHALI (India) - INDIAN Prime Minister Manmohan Singh said on Wednesday that 'permanent reconciliation' was required with Pakistan, after he met his counterpart at the nations' cricket World Cup semi-final.

Mr Singh and Yousaf Raza Gilani held brief talks during the match, which India won, as the two leaders used the fixture to promote better ties between their rival countries.

India and Pakistan 'should be working together to find cooperative solutions and need permanent reconciliation to live together in dignity and honour,' Mr Singh said in a speech during the talks.


'We should put our ancient animosities behind us to attend to the problems of our nations,' he said. 

India's foreign secretary Nirupama Rao said that the match had 'provided impetus' to efforts to re-build cross-border relations.

India broke off official contacts with Islamabad in 2008 after the Mumbai attacks, which India blamed on Pakistani militants who wrought carnage in the city over three days, killing 166 people.

The two nuclear-armed nations have fought three wars since independence from Britain in 1947. 'The meeting reaffirmed the intention that both countries want to take the process of dialogue ahead,' Ms Rao said, adding that 'both sides have the same goal of normalisation of the relationship.' -- AFP

Monday, March 28, 2011

India, Pakistan talk extremism and peace

NEW DELHI - TOP officials from India and Pakistan were due to meet on Monday in New Delhi to discuss counter-terrorism and the 2008 Mumbai attacks in a new effort to advance their slow-moving peace process.

The home secretaries of both countries are also expected to discuss the drugs trade during two days of talks that will look to build on recent momentum and a thaw in relations brought on by their shared love of cricket.

India and Pakistan will meet in the semi-final of the cricket World Cup on Wednesday in an explosive encounter that has been seized on by Indian Prime Minister Manmohan Singh as an opportunity to improve ties.


Singh has invited his Pakistani counterpart Yousuf Raza Gilani to watch the game with him in what will be a rare meeting between the two leaders, who last sat down for talks in Bhutan in April last year.

The discussions on Monday between India's home secretary G.K. Pillai and his Pakistani counterpart Chaudhary Qamar Zaman are expected to focus on the Mumbai attacks of 2008, carried out by extremists who travelled from Pakistan.

India broke off formal peace talks with its neighbour after the attack that left 166 dead and has repeatedly called on Islamabad to bring the perpetrators to justice. Pakistan has charged seven people but none has been convicted. -- AFP

Saturday, March 26, 2011

India Shining: Rupee Symbol Now in MS Windows

Always one to play the foil, let me say that contrary to conventional wisdom among the self-styled digerati, I see no reason to chuck Windows 7 for OS X. Not only is the range of programmes for the former vast, but a smidgen of diligence means you can avoid catching viruses and malware. Yes, you can run software that allows you to run Windows software on a Mac, but it makes little sense to pay extra to run stuff more slowly on a Mac. What is more, ever since Apple switched to Intel from Motorola (PowerPC) processors, the hardware used by both contending operating systems is virtually identical--but Apple charges you significantly more in most instances. Colour me sceptical, and give me Windows 7 over OS X any day. Heck, I run Vista on my four-year-old machine and have had no substantive complaints.

This introduction brings me to further proof that India has arrived on the world stage. Typically, developing markets are not prime Microsoft targets. Among the typical reasons you'll hear are...

  • the market is too small;
  • where there are Windows users, they typically use pirated software;
  • this is because intellectual property laws are not strongly enforced
At one point or another, I am sure software vendors have used these reasons in describing the Indian market. But now it's a different picture altogether. You see, aside from offering software in Hindi, the latest iteration of Windows 7 contains the brand spanking new symbol for the Indian rupee. Currency watchers should be aware of a contest Indian authorities introduced two years ago to create a symbol for India's currency. Finalized just last year, Microsoft is now so confident of India's growing stature that the new character set for Windows worldwide will incorporate it. From Softpedia (!--for the first time ever):
Microsoft has released an update to all supported versions of Windows designed to introduce support for the new currency symbol that will be used from now on for the Indian Rupee. Customers can download variants of KB 2496898 and install the refresh in accordance with the operating system they’re running.

According to the software giant, following the installation of the update, the new currency symbol for the Indian Rupee (which can be seen in the image accompanying this article) will be available in Windows 7 SP1 and RTM, Windows Server 2008 R2 SP1 and RTM, as well as Windows Vista and Windows Server 2008...

Of course, the refresh is not limited at introducing the new symbol for the Rupee. The Redmond company revealed that “this update includes font support, locale changes, and keyboard support.” Before the new symbol was adopted by India for its currency, the Rupee was abbreviated as either Rs or Re, although Indian language alternatives also existed.

The Indian government announced a contest for a new currency symbol back in the first half of 2009, and over a year later the winning design was selected. The official Rupee symbol was created by Udaya Kumar Dharmalingam, who based the design on the Devanagari letter र, to which he added an extra horizontal line.

The new Rupee symbol is already a part of Unicode version 6.0, and it only makes sense for Microsoft to also integrate it into copies of the Windows operating system. Take a good long look at the Rupee symbol above, as it will be used to represent India’s currency just as the case for the US Dollar ($), the Japanese Yen (¥), or the Euro (€).
If the Redmond giant takes the Indian market seriously enough to issue a separate update, then I guess we should all take heed of its prospects. You may think it a minor development, but think of the wider ramifications of Microsoft's eagerness to please this particular market. Indian shining, indeed!

Friday, March 25, 2011

Anti-nuclear protesters march in Indian capital


Indian protesters belonging to the Anti-Nuclear Struggles Solidarity Forum hold placards and chant slogans during anti-nuclear protest, in New Delhi. -- PHOTO: AP

NEW DELHI - ABOUT 100 protesters marched to India's Parliament on Friday demanding that the government give up plans to build a large number of nuclear power plants because of safety issues underscored by Japan's nuclear crisis.

'The choice is clear - no nuclear,' chanted the protesters from the Anti-Nuclear Struggles Solidarity Forum, a coalition of more than a dozen groups.


They said radiation leaks at a Japanese nuclear complex hit by an earthquake and tsunami showed it was a dangerous form of energy generation.

The protest ended peacefully after the group marched through parts of the capital.

For decades India was forced into nuclear isolation as it pursued nuclear weapons as part of an arms race with neighbouring Pakistan.

India still refuses to sign the nuclear nonproliferation treaty, but the United States passed legislation in 2008 ending a ban on civilian nuclear trade with India. Since then, several foreign governments have been courting India to get a piece of its lucrative nuclear energy market. -- AP


Wednesday, March 23, 2011

India says Monsanto covertly, illegally conducted GM corn trials without approval

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Jonathan Benson
Natural News

Recent reports out of India say that multinational biotechnology giant Monsanto has once against skirted the law by clandestinely planting its genetically-modified (GM) corn without receiving approval to do so. Nitish Kumar, chief minister of the Indian state of Bihar, recently wrote a letter to India's environment minister Jairam Ramesh explaining the situation. Just days earlier, Ramesh had denied Monsanto permission to plant the crops at all.

When he discovered that Monsanto had schemed with India's Genetic Engineering Approval Committee (GEAC) and the Indian Council for Agriculture Research (ICAR) to plant genetically-modified (GM) corn without official approval, Kumar was outraged. Kumar had previously written a letter to Ramesh reinforcing his opposition to the GM corn, and shortly thereafter Ramesh asked GEAC to block Monsanto's corn plantings that it had first approved back in December.But it turns out Monsanto continued to plant its GM corn at several locations in Bihar, as well is in several other Indian states, even as final approval was still pending. And GEAC and ICAR appear to have been onboard with Monsanto's agenda all along since they allowed the company to continue with its experimental plantings.

"This is absolutely shocking, coming as it does under the shadow of the review of Bt brinjal, the first (GM) food crop to be introduced in India. It is deceitful," said Suman Sahai of Gene Campaign, a grassroots organization working to protect local control over genetic resources and food sovereignty. "Permission has been given surreptitiously. This is not right. We strongly oppose it. The permission should be withdrawn for all States, not just Bihar."

Monsanto also violated the "isolation distance" requirements that restrict GM plantings within a certain distance from non-GM plantings. Previous incidents have revealed that GMOs can very easily contaminate non-GMOs and ruin the integrity of entire crop fields (http://www.naturalnews.com/030851_M...). 

Sources for this story include:
http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/...
http://www.thehindu.com/news/nation...

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Monday, March 21, 2011

Moammar, Italy & BRICs: The Battle for Libyan Oil

A few days ago, we had former UNDP head Mark Malloch Brown talk impressively about global events, especially goings-on at the UN in relation to the Middle East/North Africa. One of the things he pointed out was that perhaps an even worse humanitarian disaster is occurring in Cote d'Ivoire. While this is sadly and undoubtedly true, I'll take the crude Marxist route of economic determinism and suggest the difference boils down to energy. Possessed of the finest grades of petroleum reserves--light, sweet crude that is easy to refine--Libya will remain a prize far greater than the Ivory Coast. Tis the way of the world: I am afraid and ashamed of in equal measure.

Arguably, two of the countries that have pressed hardest for a no-fly zone over Libya are those with the most commercial interests there. Perhaps it's a matter of saving face. Remember that prior to leading the current international effort to penalize the Gadhafi regime, Nicolas Sarkozy was telling everyone not too long ago that it was OK to sell arms to Libya. Given its imperial history, Italy has invested in Libya and has in turn attracted investment by Libyan powers-that-be. However, the head of Italy's largest petroleum company ENI (formerly Agip), has been thinking ahead about the future implications of sanctions should Gadhafi remain in control--or at least of the key oil-producing regions. From the WSJ:

The head of Italian oil giant Eni SpA called for Europe to drop sanctions against Libya, saying it was "shooting itself in the foot" and endangering its energy security by punishing the Gadhafi regime.

Eni Chief Executive Paolo Scaroni's comments come against a background of threats and warnings by Col. Moammar Gadhafi against foreign oil companies, especially those from countries that have backed the opposition rebels and called for a no-fly zone above Libya...Foreign companies such as Eni, which suspended production and evacuated staff when the violence erupted, are keen to resume operations in a country that holds the largest oil reserves in Africa and has long been considered one of the great unexplored frontiers of the global energy industry.

But they face a dilemma. Libya is likely to face an era of deep international isolation, with a new round of sanctions that could affect foreign oil companies. Those from states that called for Col. Gadhafi's ouster, like France and Italy, may be singled out for punishment by the leader and his inner circle.

And those that try to rekindle their relationship with a reviled regime face grave risk to their reputations in Western markets. "Companies that go grovelling back to Gadhafi are not going to look great in the eyes of Western public opinion," said Samuel Ciszuk, a North Africa energy expert at IHS Global Insight. "It's going to be a very uncertain environment for them."
Indeed, it's by no means certain that the West will not eventually forgive and forget as it has done in the past. ENI thinking is simple: if the West offends Gadhafi sufficiently but he is not dislodged from power, then there are others who would certainly welcome the opportunity to take its place:
In interviews published this week, Col. Gadhafi indicated that contracts with Western oil companies could come under review. He told the Italian daily Il Giornale he felt "betrayed" by Italian Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi, who had previously courted the Libyan leader but called for him to step down after the uprising broke out...Italy has suspended its 2008 "friendship treaty" with Libya and frozen Libyan investments in the Italian economy, including large stakes in defense contractor Finmeccanica SpA and lender UniCredit SpA.

Asked whether Libya might reconsider its contracts with Eni, the Libyan strongman said he "believes and hopes" that the "Libyan people" would reconsider their economic, financial and security ties with the West. Speaking to Russia Today, the pro-Kremlin channel, Col. Gadhafi said Libya can "no longer trust the West...That is why we would like to invite companies from Russia, China and India to invest in our oil production and construction industries," he added.

Other officials in Libya have said they are eager to have Western companies back. Shokri Ghanem, head of Libya's National Oil Corp., or NOC, and the country's de facto oil minister, said last week that Libya would respect all contracts and wanted its current partners to return to work as soon as possible.

Speaking on the sidelines of a parliamentary hearing on Italy's energy ties to Libya, Mr. Scaroni said imposing sanctions was "shooting ourselves in the foot," because not taking Libyan gas would undermine Italy's energy security. Eni has been in Libya since 1955 and is the largest single foreign investor there; in 2007 it signed a $28 billion deal to extend its Libyan oil contracts to 2042. But sanctions have forced Eni to suspend shipments of the oil it produces there, which account for about a quarter of Italy's oil supply. It also shut down the Greenstream pipeline which supplies 10% of Italy's natural gas.

With Libya's political future still uncertain, Mr. Scaroni appeared to hedge on where Eni's allegiances lie. "Whatever political system there is in the future, it will have its own NOC, which will have contracts and relations with us," he said. "I don't see any reason that these ties should be compromised."
Now for more on the BRICS--all of which declined to cast their vote. Permanent security members China and Russia unsurprisingly did not vote on the resolution implementing the no-fly zone. While Russia being attracted to Libya's energy supplies is indeed like bringing coals to Newcastle as the saying goes, the Chinese would certainly welcome the opportunity to expand its access to such supplies. Are they currying favour just in case? In addition to abstaining, both countries now express "regret" over military action.

Meanwhile, non-permanent security council members Brazil and India did the same. (Remember, there are five permanent security council members and ten rotating ones--which Brazil and India happened to be at the time of the vote.) Brazil does not lack for energy resources, but India could certainly stand to gain in the aftermath if Gadhafi manages to cling to power. Gadhafi has already suggested as much.

Although I suspect these major emerging economies are more concerned with keeping the principle of non-interference intact, you cannot rule out the possibility of some--particularly China and India--hedging their energy bets. Energy realpolitik--if the Italians can't do without it, imagine how countries many time its size keep it in mind.

Ultimately, it hinges on whether Moammar Gadhafi remains in power or nor. Insofar as Western enforcers of the no-fly zone are reluctant to launch a ground effort lest another protracted counterinsurgency-type challenge appear (as Gadhafi warns), there are any number countries and companies jockeying for position in anticipation of ever after.

Sunday, March 20, 2011

India 'regrets' air strikes on Libya

NEW DELHI - INDIA expressed regret on Sunday over the multinational air strikes on Libya, appealing in a foreign ministry statement for a peaceful resolution to the conflict.

Forces led by France, Britain and US began bombarding Libya with missiles from air and sea on Saturday to enforce a United Nations-mandated no-fly zone and protection of rebels from Muammar Gaddafi's forces.
'India views with grave concern the continuing violence, strife and deteriorating humanitarian situation in Libya,' the statement said.

'It regrets the air strikes that are taking place. The measures adopted should mitigate and not exacerbate an already difficult situation for the people of Libya.' China and Russia have also issued similar statements.


The two nations were the most prominent voices in opposition to military action in Libya within the 15-member United Nations Security Council, of which India is also a member.

However Beijing, Moscow and New Delhi did not block the UN resolution authorising the operation, abstaining in the Security Council vote on the issue rather than using their veto power. -- AFP

Thursday, March 10, 2011

Tamil Tiger rebels training in India

COLOMBO - REMNANTS of Sri Lanka's defeated Tamil rebels are undergoing military training in India in a bid to revive their separatist campaign at home, the island's prime minister said on Thursday.

D.M. Jayaratne said an unknown number of Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE) fighters were based at secret camps in the south Indian state of Tamil Nadu.

'We have intelligence reports of three clandestine training centres operated by the LTTE in Tamil Nadu,' the prime minister said in a statement on Thursday.

He said the rebels, who were defeated by Sri Lankan government troops in May 2009, were hoping to relaunch their decades-long fight for an independent homeland in the island.


'Their next target is to create small-scale attacks,' Mr Jayaratne said. 'The entire nation must be ready to face this threat.'

No rebel attacks have been launched since the Tigers were wiped out, but the premier told parliament on Wednesday that the country needed to maintain tough emergency laws to deal with their possible resurgence. -- AFP

Tuesday, March 1, 2011

Police probe 63 in India telecoms scandal


Nobody has yet been charged in the case but the scandal over the sale of telecom licences has already brought down former telecoms minister A. Raja (above), who is under arrest in a New Delhi jail. -- PHOTO: AFP

NEW DELHI - INDIAN police have investigated more than 60 people, including top executives at 10 telecom companies, in a probe into a massive corruption scandal, a court heard on Tuesday.

The Central Bureau of Investigation (CBI) is investigating what has been described as one of the biggest corruption cases in India's history, with up to US$40 billion (S$51 billion) of public revenue lost, according to the government auditor.


Nobody has yet been charged in the case but the scandal over the sale of telecom licences has already brought down former telecoms minister A. Raja, who is under arrest in a New Delhi jail.

'Sixty-three persons including promoters and CEOs (chief executive officers) of 10 (telecom) companies have come under the scanner of the CBI,' CBI lawyer K.K. Venugopal told the Supreme Court, according to the Press Trust of India.

The court was hearing a status report from the CBI on the progress of the investigation after it told police last month to move with 'greater expedition' to catch the beneficiaries of the alleged scam.

The CBI has also arrested two former aides of Raja as well as Shahid Balwa, vice chairman of Etisalat DB Telecom. -- AFP


Friday, February 11, 2011

Nobel laureates demand Indian activist's release

NEW DELHI - A GROUP of 40 Nobel laureates has demanded the immediate release on bail of an Indian human rights activist who was sentenced to life in prison on charges of aiding communist rebels in eastern India.

The Nobel laureates issued a statement on Wednesday expressing dismay over what they called an unjust sentence given to Binayak Sen, a 60-year-old physician and outspoken government critic. Dr Sen remains in jail awaiting a ruling on his appeal of his conviction.

'Dr Sen is an exceptional, courageous, and selfless colleague, dedicated to helping those in India who are least able to help themselves,' the laureates said in the statement, posted on a website campaigning for Dr Sen's release.


The laureates, from a range of disciplines, include Peter Agre, Richard Axel, David Baltimore, Martin Chalfie, Robert Curl, Johann Deisenhofer and Richard R. Ernst.

Dr Sen worked in tribal villages and tried to rally people to fight for their rights, often provoking the ire of authorities.

In December, a court found Dr Sen and two others guilty of sedition and sentenced them to life in prison. They were acquitted on the charge of waging war against the state, which is punishable by death. -- AP


Shipbreaking, A Dirty But Necessary Industry

A Bangladeshi colleague pointed out to me that a report he prepared for the World Bank has now come out in print form. There are probably few tasks in this world that are as "3D" (dirty, difficult, and dangerous) as shipbreaking. It involves dismantling disused vessels for scrap--usually in Bangladesh, Pakistan, and India. The costs are generally well-known: environmental pollution, injury or even loss of life figure large in this largely unregulated trade. In 2009, the Hong Kong International Convention for the Safe and Environmentally Sound Recycling of Ships was adopted that confronted a number of relevant issues. While most stakeholders thought it was a move forward, some NGOs complained that it was actually a step backward from the preexisting 1989 Basel Convention on the Control of Transboundary Movements of Hazardous Wastes and Their Disposal. (Which the United States hasn't ratified, unsurprisingly.) Their main beef is that responsibility is placed on the flag carrier as opposed to shipping companies, allowing the loophole of reassigning ships on their final voyages to be placed under flags of convenience that are hard to call to account.

At any rate, this World Bank-commissioned report focusses more on the environmental considerations at hand in shipbreaking. Given that shipbreakers on the Indian subcontinent are not the most stable and organized of enterprises, there are considerable difficulties to surmount in identifying potentially toxic materials and hence enhance worker safety. What follows is the executive summary which offers a taster of what's in the report--certainly a must-read for those concerned with global environmental or trade and environment issues:
---------------------------------------

The ship breaking and recycling industry (SBRI) converts end-of-life ships into steel and other recyclable items. Ship recycling offers the most environmentally sustainable way of disposing of old vessels, with virtually every part of the hull and machine complex being reused or recycled as scrap metal. Although the industry is beneficial from a life-cycle assessment point of view, over the years it has gravitated toward countries with low labor costs, weak regulations on occupational safety, and limited environmental enforcement. The “global shift” in the industry to countries with comparatively weaker regulatory systems is of particular concern as ships contain many hazards that can have significant detrimental effects on humans and the environment if not dealt with properly.

Currently, the global center of the ship breaking and recycling industry is located in South Asia, specifically Bangladesh, India, and Pakistan. These three countries account for 70–80 percent of the international market for ship breaking of ocean-going vessels, with China and Turkey accounting for most of the rest. Only about 5 percent of the global volume of such vessels is scrapped outside these five countries. This study focuses on the SBRI in Bangladesh and Pakistan to get a better understanding of the economics of the industry and the environmental impacts arising out of such activity and to explore possible ways in which such environmental effects may be mitigated.

The ship breaking and recycling industry plays a significant economic role in Bangladesh and Pakistan, supplying a substantial quantity of re-rollable scrap steel for the iron and steel industries. SBRI provides more than half of Bangladesh’s steel supply, for example, making it a strategic industry in that country. The industry also creates hundreds of thousands of direct and indirect jobs for some of the poorest and most marginalized segments of the population in those countries. The work force in each country varies with the volume of ship breaking but may range from 8,000–22,000 workers in the ship recycling yards to 200,000 in the supply chain, shops, and re-rolling mills—with dependents in extended families estimated to reach over 500,000 in Bangladesh, although fewer in Pakistan.

The SBRI also has a major social impact in that region. Most workers in the ship breaking yards are migrant workers from poorer regions of each country. The percentage of such migrant labor is higher in Bangladesh compared to Pakistan. A major reason for employment of migrant labor is the hazardous nature of the job as well as variations in employment levels depending on the extent of ship breaking work being done.

Working conditions have historically been poor for the majority of these workers, with limited use of personal protective equipment, frequent exposure to hazardous materials, and unsafe conditions. Accidents causing fatalities and injuries are frequently reported in the local media. A wealth of reports from nongovernmental organizations, academia, and other interested entities complement the limited monitoring data from the relevant authorities. Mechanization of some of the hazardous works may minimize such accidents. Among the three countries, Pakistan uses the highest degree of mechanization in the yards.

Environmental protection is limited in most yards and the sound management of asbestos, polychlorinated biphenyls (PCBs), ozone-depleting substances (ODS), and a range of heavy metals is virtually nonexistent. Of late, some efforts at minimizing the release of such pollutants in the environment are emerging in Bangladesh due to intervention by the courts. Similar interest in improving the industry’s performance is also developing in Pakistan.

Recognizing the need for coordinated action on the issue, the International Convention for the Safe and Environmentally Sound Recycling of Ships was adopted by a diplomatic conference under the auspices of the International Maritime Organization in Hong Kong, China, in May 2009. The Hong Kong Convention (HKC) is expected to enter into force in 2015.
---------------------------------------

Despite the generally unpleasant nature of these tasks, it is understandable that the industry will not disappear anytime soon. Indeed, given the skyrocketing prices of raw materials in this day and age, buying up disposed vessels at bargain prices for scrap looks set to thrive. Developed countries that have more knowledge about safe practices tend to avoid this trade given its irregular nature, but perhaps knowledge can still be imparted. How do you regulate a loosely regulated trade run by loosely affiliated networks? It's an interesting global governance problematique to say the least that would benefit from coordination that's presently absent to a large degree

Saturday, February 5, 2011

North-east India rebels announce peace talks

GUWAHATI (India) - AN OUTLAWED rebel group in India's north-east said on Saturday it would begin 'unconditional' peace talks with New Delhi this week in a bid to end a violent 31-year insurgency.

The United Liberation Front of Asom (ULFA), one of the biggest rebel armies in the tea and oil-rich region of Assam, has been fighting for an independent homeland for ethnic Assamese since 1979.

At least 10,000 people, mostly civilians, have died in Assam because of fighting between government forces and the various rebel groups.


ULFA foreign secretary Sasha Choudhury told reporters in Guwahati, the largest city in Assam, that the group took 'the decision to open unconditional peace talks at our general council meeting'. 'We expect a mutually acceptable solution to the long standing Assam-India conflict,' he said.

ULFA chairman Arabinda Rajkhowa is expected to lead the group at the talks on Thursday, an Assam state government official told AFP, requesting not to be named.

The government delegation will be headed by either home minister P.C. Chidambaram or by home secretary G.K. Pillai, the official said. -- AFP

Indian Kashmiris protest student's killing by army

SRINAGAR - THOUSANDS of protesters poured into the streets in restive Indian Kashmir on Saturday after a student was shot dead by the army.

The new unrest raised memories of massive anti-India protests that rocked the Muslim-majority region last summer in which at least 114 people were killed, most of them shot by security forces.

Manzoor Ahmad Magray, 21, a student, was killed by Indian troops late Friday in Handwara, 80km north of the region's summer capital Srinagar, police said.


Thousand of people marched in the streets on Saturday to voice their anger, television footage showed.

Indian military spokesman J.S. Brar said in a statement that the army regretted Magray's death but added that 'troops fired after he paid no heed to their signal to stop.' Handwara-based police superintendent Mohammad Aslam said: 'We have registered a murder case against the army in connection with the incident.' 'The situation is tense but under control,' Mr Aslam told AFP.

Kashmir state chief minister Omar Abdullah, who was accused last year of allowing civilian unrest to spiral out of control, expressed his sorrow at the death. -- AFP


Thursday, January 27, 2011

Climate Apartheid? The India-Bangladesh Superfence

My friend came to me, with sadness in his eyes
He told me that he wanted help
Before his country dies

And so begin the lyrics to "Bangla Desh" from George Harrison's Concert for Bangla Desh held on 1 August 1971 in Madison Square Garden. Well before we had Sir Bono and Sir Bob Geldof, Live Aid and Live 8, we had the late, great Beatle setting the template for all there was to follow. This forerunner of all benefit concerts was held to support the victims of the 12 November 1970 Bhola cyclone in which an estimated 300,000 lost their lives in the region then called East Pakistan--today's Bangladesh. Just as Pakistan emerged from India, so did Bangladesh in turn emerge from Pakistan, declaring independence on 26 March 1971. It was a very difficult time for Bangladesh to say the least as it faced both the aftermath of a devastating natural calamity and the teething woes of becoming a nation--hence the lyrics above.

Now, politics on the Indian subcontinent are usually as contentious as they are interesting. Back then, Pakistan tried hard to keep Bangladesh from becoming a country, and India offered support. Among other things, India opened its border with East Pakistan to help refugees from the disaster cope. Unfortunately, environmental pressures on Bangladesh have hardly ebbed in the intervening years. Obviously, it hasn't gained any elevation while global warming has taken further effect. What more if sea levels continue to rise? With a population of over 160 million, Bangladesh is far from a tiny country population-wise.

The Commonwealth Secretariat has a new publication called Global: the international briefing that looks at global policy issues from the perspective of member states in the British Commonwealth. I highly recommend Robin Cohen's essay on why migration is a boon to globalization, though there are obviously strong interests opposed to it. In particular, the border between Bangladesh and India has become more fractious. To those following migration issues, such episodes are unsurprising given that about half of migration is, contrary to popular perception, South-South or between developing countries. I was thus struck by Cohen's description of a massive fence India is putting up:

As for South–South migration, there remain many tensions and important fault lines. The data are disputed, but there are probably about 3.5 million people born in Bangladesh living in India, with 1 million born in India and living in Bangladesh. With the Ganges Delta prone to periodic flooding, further population movements from Bangladesh to India are likely, but are inhibited by an Indian-built fence, stretching for nearly 4,100 km.
2011 is 40 years after 1971, and let's just say that the Indians are no longer as welcoming of Bangladeshis pouring over their borders. Moreover, even the effects of a major cyclone are time-bound, while permanently higher sea levels aren't. It's a security issue, they say. Aside from preventing those affected by flooding to seek refuge in neighbouring India, Brad Adams of Human Rights Watch asserts that Indian border guards have been overzealous while this massive fenestration project has become underway:
Do good fences make good neighbours? Not along the India-Bangladesh border. Here, India has almost finished building a 2,000km fence. Where once people on both sides were part of a greater Bengal, now India has put up a "keep out" sign to stop illegal immigration, smuggling and infiltration by anti-government militants.

This might seem unexceptional in a world increasingly hostile to migration. But to police the border, India's Border Security Force (BSF), has carried out a shoot-to-kill policy – even on unarmed local villagers. The toll has been huge. Over the past 10 years Indian security forces have killed almost 1,000 people, mostly Bangladeshis, turning the border area into a south Asian killing fields. No one has been prosecuted for any of these killings, in spite of evidence in many cases that makes it clear the killings were in cold blood against unarmed and defenceless local residents.

Shockingly, some Indian officials endorse shooting people who attempt to cross the border illegally, even if they are unarmed. Almost as shocking is the lack of interest in these killings by foreign governments who claim to be concerned with human rights. A single killing by US law enforcement along the Mexican border makes headlines. The killing of large numbers of villagers by Indian forces has been almost entirely ignored.
It gives one reason to pause about the consequences of global warming if the threats identified are real. Not being a climate change denier (or a deficit denier for that matter; these paleolithic tendencies tend to run together), the prospect is scary indeed. It pits higher-lying areas against adjacent lower-lying ones in a manner that seems not to build on the goodwill evident in past times, like say 1971. While the Guardian op-ed may overstate shootings on the border, the likelihood of rising sea levels and the continuing construction of this fence do not bode well for relations on the Indian subcontinent concerning borders. Also consider the economic effects of artificial separation.

Since George Harrison is no longer with us, perhaps it's up to his forebears to draw attention to a worthy cause. Is it climate apartheid, then? If migration restrictions increase further, I doubt whether this instance will be an isolated one, sadly.

Friday, January 7, 2011

Pakistan bans road, rail onion exports to India


Pakistan this week banned overland onion exports to chief rival India. -- PHOTO: AP

ISLAMABAD - PAKISTAN this week banned overland onion exports to chief rival India in a bid to control rising prices at home for the South Asian food staple, the commerce ministry said on Friday.

'The exports triggered a shortage of onions in our domestic market,' a ministry spokesman told AFP.

'I can confirm the restriction has been imposed on exports of the commodity through the Wagah border,' he said, in reference to the land crossing between nuclear-armed India and Pakistan, who have fought three wars since 1947.


Exports of onions to India by sea, however, were not restricted, he said.

The clampdown was aimed at discouraging ordinary traders from trucking onions to India, currently facing a shortage of the vegetable, after consumers complained that costs have more than doubled in Pakistan in recent weeks.

Prices in Islamabad, where food items are generally more expensive than elsewhere, have risen from 40 Pakistani rupees last month to up to 90 rupees a kilo (S$2.57). -- AFP


Thursday, January 6, 2011

Max Interest Rate Microlenders Should Charge Is...

By now, I'm sure you've read all about the controversies over suicides attributed to microlending in Andra Pradesh state in India and government attempts to regulate such lending. Now, a bigwig has waded into the controversy, claiming that many commercial lenders there have not really been faithful to the original vision of microlending. Any number of issues have cropped up that negatively affect a microborrower's ability to pay:

  • lenders offering more loans to microborrowers who already have existing ones with other lenders;
  • microborrowers taking on a multiplicity of loans given fast growth in this area (or even from loan sharks);
  • commercially-oriented borrowers charging "what the market will bear" as opposed to having any overt social mission that bears on setting interest rates.
Now Nobel Peace Prize Winner Muhammad Yunus, microfinance pioneer, identifies some guidelines that conscientious lenders should observe:
Yunus says he’s not against making a profit. But he denounces firms that seek windfalls and pervert the original intent of microfinance: helping the poor. The rule of thumb for a loan should be the cost of funds plus 10 percent, he says [my emphasis].

“Commercialization is the wrong direction,” Yunus says, speaking in a telephone interview from Bangladesh’s capital of Dhaka. “An initial public offering is the triggering point for making a lot of money personally as well as for the company and shareholders.”
There is a case to be made that Indian microlenders infringe on the Yunus rule, charging well over 10 percent over the cost of funding:
Indian microlenders themselves borrow from banks at 13 percent or more on average and extend credit to the poor. They charge interest rates that can rise to 36 percent, says Alok Prasad, chief executive officer of the Microfinance Institutions Network, which represents 44 microlenders. He says all 44 firms are registered with the Reserve Bank. SKS Microfinance gets funds at about 12 percent interest and lends at 24.52 percent in Andhra Pradesh, spokesman Atul Takle says.

In Bangladesh, Grameen Bank got a banking license in 1983, which allowed it to take deposits. It charges 5 percent for education loans and 8 percent for housing loans. Beggars can borrow for free, and interest on major loans is capped at 20 percent, Yunus says. “Microfinance has been abused and distorted,” he says. “I feel so sad because that’s not the microcredit I have created.”
Andra Pradesh will be a litmus test for microfinance in India. These are probably the three main issues to look at: MFIs overlending to those who already have many microloans; overextended borrowers who borrow from many sources to create "macroloans" if you will; and setting appropriate ceilings to borrowing costs.

MFIs need to take a closer look at their funding sources and how to rationalize their lending rates in light of growing corporate social responsibility questions. Grameen-style self-help groups were meant to be exclusive so that participants could focus on the activities of their peers (and help alleviate "moral hazard" in the process) instead of having multiple groups to deal with that are loosely affiliated as what is often happening now in Andra Pradesh when multiple loans are taken out.

Sunday, December 26, 2010

Fog hit flights, trains in N. India


People walk on a railway line in dense fog in New Delhi. -- PHOTO: AFP

NEW DELHI - THICK winter fog disrupted travel across northern India on Sunday, with international flights out of New Delhi airport severely delayed and train schedules thrown into chaos.

About 15 domestic flights were cancelled and 12 international flights were delayed due to poor visibility at the airport. Seventy-five flights were affected.


'Dense fog enveloped the city since the early hours today (Sunday) and the visibility at the Indira Gandhi International airport dropped to near zero, heavily disrupting (flights),' the Press Trust of India news agency reported.

Train journeys in Punjab and Haryana state were also badly affected, with thousands of passengers stranded or facing delays. -- AFP